what are the predictions for general elections 2009

 when the elections were announced most of the channels & opinion polls were giving edge to the UPA over NDA .......BUT as new issues are cropping up & campaign is gaining momentum ....I feel that bjp  led NDA is marching ahead... BJP will emerge as the single largest party getting 160 to 175 seats....

BJP should focus on increasing its tally in UP to at least 30-35 seats  ....remember it got only 11 last time in 2004...

BJP can bank upon parties like AIADMK,MDMK,TRINAMOOL CONG ,BJD ,TDP...for support if NDA falls short by 30-45 seats.

please send ur predictions and opinions regarding 2009 polls

Anonymous's picture

Everyone, Please accept my

Everyone,

Please accept my pranams.

Hindu-Bashing Congress has again started Godhra issue,this time Congress party must be routed and decimated to zero seat in Gujarat.

Comedy Islamist Teesta Setalvad(Convert Muslim from Hindu,her husband is Javed Anand),who is trying by all & various means to indict Shri Modi.But she cant even pluck a single hair of him,why did she not press for enquiry for Sabarmati express burning where 60+ Karsevaks & women died because she thinks Hindus must be murdered and Muslim population must grow in Hindustan,who is unding her,its same Hindu-Bashing Pro-Muslim,Pro-Christian party Congress(thnx their Muslim association -leadership itself).Let her speak,bark,lick,we will do our work of ensuring Modi routing Muslim-Congress from Gujarat once for all.Secondly we must initiate a movement where Congress muslim connection must be brought out & they must be trounced once for all.Let the Muslim gang speak ,let us work in grassroots to ensure the defeat.Comeon my brothers Sikhs its afterall Muslim-Congress who killed thousands o Sikhs or single individual who is not an hindu,not parsi but a muslim(Her husband has tomb in Ahmedabad).

Lalithkumar Gujarati's picture

VYARTHA CHINTIT HO RAHE

VYARTHA CHINTIT HO RAHE HO.
JO HINDU HIT KI BAAT KAREGA VOHI DESH PE RAJ KAREGA.

BHARAT MATA KI JAY!!
BHARAT MATA KI JAY!!

!!!VANDE MATRAM!!!

Badri Narayanan's picture

Everyone, Please accept my

Everyone,

Please accept my pranams.

Please find below some trends which is coming to my mind,pls correct me if am wrong:

1) UP:

Total:80 MP Seats

2004 Scenario:
SP: 35 Seats,BSP: 19,BJP: 10,INC: 9,RLD:3,JD(U):1,MNLP:1,Samajwadi Janata Party:1,Independent:1

2009 Scenario:

BJP,JD(U)& RLD: 30-35,BSP: 20-25,SP: 10-15,INC:5-10,Others:2-3

Reason:
1. BJP is rejuvanted after Varun's incident,strong Campaign& emphasis by Modi,Rajnath would have definetely understood bad things about infightings in such a gr8 party and has eradicated it by giving equal preference for everyone this time which is the primary reason for trouncing last time.
2. Sense of insecurity feeling among Hindus in UPA period.
3. To make Advani PM of India,everyone would pitch in,since he was the first person who made indians think abt differences btw secularism/pseudo-secularism.
4. Brahmins who decisively voted for Mayawati might turn favour into BJP after strong pitch for Ram Sethu & Ram Mandir.
5. Workers would work hard in Varanasi for defeat of Mukhtar Ansari,a Muslim who killed BJP Leader,which would have catastrophic effect among other workers in other parts too.
6. So-called minority votes is getting badly divided among SP,BSP,INC which will definetely work in BJP's favour after sudden speech abt Babri masjid speech of Congress part by Lalu.

2) Bihar:40 Seats:

2004: RJD:22 LJP: 4,JD(U):6,BJP:5,INC:3

2009 Scenario:
JD(U)-BJP Alliance: 27-30 Seats,RJD-LJP:10-13

1. Very clean image of Nitish Kumar-Sushil Modi Govt in Bihar.
2. State Govt which wasnt functional for 2 decades has started functioning,relief work done by state Govt during Kosi River Destruction was tremenduous ,ppl are feeling happy under this govt.
3. Lalu made a smart move by aligning with only LJP sidelining INC thinking abt vote arithmetic RJD:31% + LJP:8%=39% would decimate JD(U):23%+ BJP:15%=38% but 23% was left out thinking it would come to him but it wont occur this time since minority votes would be badly split among everyone RJD-LJP,JD(U)-BJP(Since minority will also vote for their dev here) & INC,so % of votes what he got last time wont be maintained this time which would help JD(U)-BJP alliance.

4. I allege Lalu,Paswan wantedly sidelined INC to split minority to indirectly benefit BJP prospects to decimate INC ,because they watched the large scale Christian-Muslim domination in centre,illegal conversion which they could not tolerate afterall Yadavs are descendentants of Lord Krishna.I would be proved right once election results are out.Thanks to them,is this not communal?,in this platform i allege INC as more communal than many other parties for giving too much preference to Muslims& Hindus in last 60 yrs.enough is enough.

3) Madhya Pradesh:

2004: BJP: 25,INC:4

2009 Scenario: BJP:25-26,INC:3-4

1. Recent victory of Shivraj Chauhan ensures BJP is becoming the only dominaant force.
2. Return of Uma Bharathi,who did split votes in assembly elections into BJP's fold to ensure Shri Advani's victory would ensure more strength to BJP's chances.
3. Cadres are working more efficiently under able leadership of Mr Chauhan.
4.Development works have already started in MP,after very very long years of mis-governance by Congress ppl like Digvijay who swindled the state.
5. Clean image of Mr Chauhan ensures,his charisma is making more influence among electorate.
6.Poor/Non-functioning of opposition cadres is adding to positive.
6.Anti-incumbency against current UPA govt under which price rise is huge.It has become very difficult for ppl under BPL to survive because of very huge price rises in essentials of rice,wheat,edible oil etc.,

4) Rajasthan:
Total: 25

2004: BJP:21,INC:4

2009 Scenario:
BJP:17-20 INC:5-8

Reasons:
1. Ppl might think am over ambitious,but during assembly elections INC got around 96 seats,BJP got 74-75 seats but reason was INC didnt win ,BJP lost the elections was the actual reason.Reasons were Gujjar issue,Meena community issue,infighting among BJP btw top leaders were the main reasons.
2. Gujjars have understood it was wrong in voting against BJP since it gave way to minority-appeasement party(Muslims/Christians) INC in their state,so Mr Bainsla magnanimously buried the differences with BJP by joining in BJP who is now MP candidate.Meena Community,with which BJP had differences now buried the differences since they understood INC will treat them much more shabbily.I request to every Hindu Community u can fight with BJP & get whatever u want but dont vote against since INC would be major gainer.BJP is a party for all of u.Thanks Gujjar& Meena Community,i request Jat & other community to vote for BJP since its the party for all of you.
3. Micro-management in each constituency was the winning principle of Vasundhara in previous assembly election which she didnt do this time,If she had called Gujjars to the table for discussion to sort out but she made it big due to ego which she has realised now since it has cost CM post there.Plus its the election which is going to make Advani PM of India ,so Vasundhara-Jaswant& Manavendra-Shekhawat(intially he revolted but accepted since he knows the towering contribution Shri Advani)differences are buried by the fact they have started appeasing Gujjars-Meenas.
4.Development in Rajasthan was done only under Vasundhara which got erased because of other reasons.
5. Anti-Incumbency factor because of price rise.

5) Gujarat:
Total Seats: 26

2004 Scenario: BJP: 14,INC:12

2009 Scenario: BJP: 17-20,INC:6-9

Reasons:
1.Godhra issue was felt last time eventhough this is hindu dominated state.
2. Clean image of Shri Modi,development activities taken place is having positive effect from ppl over there.
3.Diamond industry workers who were made jobless ,got other jobs in Textile industry which is becoming more India-specific ensuring jobs now ,once diamond industry improves job situation will improve.
4.Waghela couldnt even match 50% of Modi's Charisma,if going is right he is losing the MP seat of Godhra.
5. People from tribal belt who are traditional voters of INC are now shifting their base towards BJP is a positive sign.
6. INC cadres are distressed,party organisation is in bad shape which cannot match BJP's cadre.
7.People are still very angry about INC's tirade against Modi whereby Antonio Maino's words on Modi "Merchant of Death" is still ringing in their ears,traditional INC voters are now shifting their loyalty to BJP which is good in longer run.
8.No sentence is getting complete without Modi since he is the person who is credited with turning around of Gujarat economy after Earthquake.
9. Modi,Modi,Modi,i might sound ridiculous but its truth,we must also be very careful in protecting him since bladi Karan Thapar said"Sudden removal of Modi will change everything" means is he telling Modi is to be killed?,Modi must realise his importance for India,mysterious deaths of Shri Shyama Prasad Mukherji in jail/Shri Deendayal Upadhyaya in Mugalsarai Station.I pray Shiva to make him understand who are his real enemies and they must be destroyed,I pray Vishnu to give him wisdom & rule the country & safe guard himselves against evils like Congress,Muslims,Mafias.I thank Advani for creating such an inheritor after his PM period.

6) Maharastra:
Total Seats: 48 Seats
2004:
BJP:13,INC: 13,SHS: 12,NCP:9,Republican Party:1
2009:
BJP-SHS:30-35 Seats,INC-NCP:13-18 Seats

Reasons:
1. Recent BMC elections proved BJP-SHS gaining popularity,recent Mumbai terror strikes prove Congress's vulnerability in facing terror.
2. Anti-Incumbency coupled with job-lessness with recession going to create anti-UPA wave where eventhough in Sugar belt of western Maharastra even after good sugar prices being given to farmers which is traditional stronghold of NCP out of 8 seats except Baramati & Madha they are going to lose in other 6 seats
3.Even after 5 years being in centre,in Vidarbha except for political stunt by Raul which might not help them anyway they are again going to lose enmasse in that region.
4. Ppl are feeling unsafe under Congress-NCP rule where terrorism is growing,in the name of minority appeasement too much is being for Muslims except in Dharavi region which am sure Shivsena would take care well.
5. Shiv-Sena-BJP which was in out of sync few months back have buried their diff & accepted Advani as PM candidate.
6. MNS might play spoilsport in some areas this time but since anti-incumbency wave being very strong,Vilasrao-Riteish visit is being seriously taken,Kasab's trail unnecessarily being dragged because of his religion,even though he is anti-national he is being saved becoz of his religion,15 other terrorists name not released becoz of religion but Sadhvini/Purohit are branded HINDU-TERRORISTS which has caused uproar among ppl.

7) Himachal Pradesh:
2004: INC: 3,BJP-1

2009: BJP-3,INC-1

1. P.K.Dhumal gave drubbing defeat to V.B.Singh recently becoz of mismanagement in the state.
2.Pro-BJP is still in existence because of development works that has been carried out by CM.
3. Anti-Hindu policies by INC is disliked by ppl which is going to affect chances of INC in longer run too.

So as of now results are :

Total: 252 seats are covered

NDA: 147-166
UPA: 55-80
BSP: 20-25

Next round i will publish Karnataka,AP,TN,Kerala,WB,Uttarakand,Pondichery.

Pls correct me if am wrong.Jai Sriram

Rajiv Sen's picture

Dear Friends,

Dear Friends,
BJPs organization strength in UP is not so good infighting and luck of decisive strong local leaders are hampering BJPs prospect to gain more seat in this state

Mohit Pathak's picture

Though it is good that

Though it is good that opinion polls have indicated UPA has margin over NDA/BJP.It will help, BJP workers will sweat out, rather than getting overconfident as they did in 2004.
Rest its a fools paradise that UPA will come back to power...small example a sunflower gold packet of 1 kg was of 94 rupees a year back now I pay 120 ruppes do you think making people fool with songs(Jai Ho) and ads(AAM AADMI ke badhte kadam) will work people dont understand inflation rate they understand only how many extra bucks they have to pay,... I really want that AAM AADMI should slap congress for the betrayl it has done for years to AAM AADMI...Khane ko roti nahin rehane ko makan nahin home rents are so high...they have made hell out of the nation......But also feel BJP should strongly focus on issues directly linked to people Mehangaai, Aatankwaad, Suraajya, and should ask votes on Gujrat Model